Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Gardner Minshew from EV Insight

Gardner MinshewPassing Yards

Right now, Gardner Minshew’s passing yards prop is set at 227.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 227.5 (-110) after it opened @ 221.5 (-115).

Pros

The Philadelphia Eagles will be starting backup QB Gardner Minshew in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Eagles are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.

Cons

Opposing offenses have passed for the 8th-least yards in football (just 215.0 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, allowing 7.25 yards-per-target: the 8th-least in football.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 5th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
281
Passing Yards