Week 16 Player Props: Passing Yards for Desmond Ridder from EV Insight

Desmond RidderPassing Yards

Right now, Desmond Ridder’s passing yards prop is set at 135.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 135.5 (-131) after it opened @ 141.5 (-115).

Pros

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 4th-most yards in the league (268.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest clip in football against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (75.1%).
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, conceding 8.33 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends rank as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

Projection

THE BLITZ
137
Passing Yards