WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Desmond RidderPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Ravens vs. Falcons
Right now, Desmond Ridder’s passing yards prop is set at 135.5 yards (-104/-131).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 135.5 (-131) after it opened @ 141.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 4th-most yards in the league (268.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
- Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest clip in football against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (75.1%).
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, conceding 8.33 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.6 plays per game.
- The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
- The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends rank as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.
Projection
THE BLITZ
137
Passing Yards
137
Passing Yards
