Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Daniel JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Vikings vs. Giants
Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 227.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 227.5 (-120) after it opened @ 205.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
- Daniel Jones’s throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 64.6% to 67.6%.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.0% pass rate.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
- The New York Giants O-line has given their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
- The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
273
Passing Yards
273
Passing Yards
