Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Cowboys vs. Eagles
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 244.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 244.5 (-110) after it opened @ 241.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 141.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 38.0 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
- Dak Prescott has been among the most accurate passers in the league this year with a stellar 66.5% Completion%, checking in at the 75th percentile.
- Dak Prescott has been among the best per-play QBs in football this year, averaging an impressive 7.44 yards-per-target while grading out in the 75th percentile.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
- The Cowboys have been the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 55.8% pass rate.
- Opposing teams have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 8th-least in football.
- Dak Prescott has thrown for many fewer yards per game (232.0) this year than he did last year (288.0).
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 210.0 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
271
Passing Yards
271
Passing Yards
