WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Aaron RodgersPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Dolphins vs. Packers
Right now, Aaron Rodgers’s passing yards prop is set at 250.5 yards (-129/-106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 250.5 (-129) after it opened @ 242.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Packers are a giant 7.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
- The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the most yards in the NFL (260.0 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
- The Miami Dolphins cornerbacks grade out as the worst CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 35.3 passes in this contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
- Aaron Rodgers has passed for quite a few less yards per game (233.0) this season than he did last season (269.0).
- Aaron Rodgers’s passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.8% to 66.3%.
- The Miami Dolphins defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.66 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
250
Passing Yards
250
Passing Yards
