Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jonathan TaylorRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Vikings vs. Colts
Right now, Jonathan Taylor’s rushing yards prop is set at 82.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accrue 20.9 rush attempts in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among running backs.
- Jonathan Taylor has been given 81.2% of his team’s carries this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among RBs.
- The Indianapolis Colts have elected to go for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
Cons
- The Colts are a big 11.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 37.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Jonathan Taylor has rushed for many fewer yards per game (87.0) this year than he did last year (116.0).
- The Minnesota Vikings defense boasts the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up just 4.28 yards-per-carry.
Projection
THE BLITZ
98
Rushing Yards
98
Rushing Yards
