Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jack Stoll from EV Insight

Jack StollReceiving Yards

Right now, Jack Stoll’s receiving yards prop is set at 10.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 10.5 (-110) after it opened @ 12.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-quickest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
Jack Stoll has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (36.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (11.8%).
Jack Stoll has notched far more air yards this year (9.0 per game) than he did last year (1.0 per game).
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has allowed their QB 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Cons

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
The Chicago Bears defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 36.0) vs. tight ends this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
11
Receiving Yards