Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 31.5 (-110) after it opened @ 33.5 (-118).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 65.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 63.4 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 43.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to notch 4.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among TEs.

Cons

The Chargers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Gerald Everett’s sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 82.2% to 69.4%.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Projection

THE BLITZ
35
Receiving Yards