Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for George Kittle from EV Insight

George KittleReceiving Yards

Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-139/+102).

The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-139) after it opened @ 41.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accrue 5.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.
George Kittle has been among the most efficient receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging an impressive 8.71 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 77th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in the league (70.0) vs. TEs this year.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency vs. TEs this year, allowing 9.35 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 7.04 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in football.

Cons

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.87 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 6th-least in football.
George Kittle has accrued far fewer air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards