Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
George KittleReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Seahawks vs. 49ers
Right now, George Kittle’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-139/+102).
The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-139) after it opened @ 41.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accrue 5.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.
- George Kittle has been among the most efficient receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging an impressive 8.71 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 77th percentile.
- The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in the league (70.0) vs. TEs this year.
- The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency vs. TEs this year, allowing 9.35 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.
- The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 7.04 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in football.
Cons
- The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.87 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 6th-least in football.
- George Kittle has accrued far fewer air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (48.0 per game).
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards
44
Receiving Yards
