Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Broncos vs. Cardinals
Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB TEXT1 this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 9.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- DeAndre Hopkins’s ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this season, totaling just 2.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.43 rate last season.
- The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 128.0) to wide receivers this year.
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.8%) versus wide receivers this year (64.8%).
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. WRs this year, surrendering 6.83 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the league.
- The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards
66
Receiving Yards
