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Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

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David Njoku

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 15

Browns vs. Ravens

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-113/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 42.5 (-113) after it opened @ 41.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.5 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to garner 5.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among TEs.
  • David Njoku has been a much bigger part of his offense’s passing game this season (20.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.8%).
  • David Njoku has put up many more air yards this year (50.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has given up the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the league (52.0) vs. tight ends this year.
Cons

  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • David Njoku’s ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this year, notching just 5.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.64 mark last year.

Projection
THE BLITZ
37
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dawson Knox from EV Insight Next Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Cordarrelle Patterson from EV Insight