Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Moore from EV Insight

Chris MooreReceiving Yards

Right now, Chris Moore’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 45.5 (-110).

Pros

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Texans are a massive 14.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 66.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 5th-most in football.
Chris Moore has posted a lot more receiving yards per game (39.0) this year than he did last year (25.0).

Cons

The Houston Texans have run the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.4 plays per game.
The Houston Texans offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 5th-best group of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.
The Houston Texans O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the fastest in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
76
Receiving Yards