Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Chris GodwinReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Buccaneers vs. Bengals
Right now, Chris Godwin’s receiving yards prop is set at 71.5 yards (-110/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 71.5 (-110) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 68.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.9 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to notch 9.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.
Cons
- Chris Godwin has totaled far fewer air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).
- Chris Godwin has accumulated substantially fewer receiving yards per game (67.0) this season than he did last season (87.0).
- Chris Godwin’s sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.6% to 70.1%.
- Chris Godwin’s pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 7.17 yards-per-target compared to a 9.83 figure last season.
- The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.3%) versus wide receivers this year (64.3%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
79
Receiving Yards
79
Receiving Yards
