WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Chigoziem OkonkwoReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Chargers vs. Titans
Right now, Chigoziem Okonkwo’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 28.5 (-115) after it opened @ 26.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to accrue 5.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
- THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to be a more important option in his offense’s air attack this week (16.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.9% in games he has played).
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has been responsible for a colossal 10.2% of his offense’s air yards this year: 81st percentile among TEs.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 11th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.8 plays per game.
- Chigoziem Okonkwo has been among the weakest TEs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
- The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (59.3%) to TEs this year (59.3%).
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards
48
Receiving Yards
