Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cade OttonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Buccaneers vs. Bengals
Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 23.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 23.5 (-110) after it opened @ 23.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 68.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.9 plays per game.
- The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (77.9%) vs. tight ends this year (77.9%).
Cons
- The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have utilized play action on a lowly 17.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
Projection
THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards
26
Receiving Yards
