Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Brandon Aiyuk from EV Insight

Brandon AiyukReceiving Yards

Right now, Brandon Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 50.5 (-114) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to accumulate 7.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
Brandon Aiyuk has totaled quite a few more air yards this year (66.0 per game) than he did last year (50.0 per game).
Brandon Aiyuk’s 54.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 42.9.
Brandon Aiyuk has compiled significantly more receiving yards per game (62.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).
Brandon Aiyuk’s ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 64.8% to 68.5%.

Cons

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.87 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 6th-least in football.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 131.0) vs. WRs this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards