Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (+106/-145).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 53.5 (-145) after it opened @ 57.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accrue 7.5 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
Amari Cooper has been much more involved in his offense’s pass attack this year (26.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (20.2%).
Amari Cooper has put up significantly more air yards this year (106.0 per game) than he did last year (85.0 per game).
The Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded the 4th-most receiving yards per game in football (180.0) versus wide receivers this year.

Cons

The Browns are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Amari Cooper’s receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.9% to 62.6%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
57
Receiving Yards