Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Zach Wilson from EV Insight

Zach WilsonPassing Yards

Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 198.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 198.5 (-110) after it opened @ 187.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 5th-most yards in the NFL (271.0 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense this year.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.69 yards-per-target: the most in football.

Cons

The New York Jets offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have used play action on a measly 23.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
215
Passing Yards