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Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Zach Wilson from EV Insight

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Zach Wilson

Zach WilsonPassing Yards

Player Props – Week 15

Jets vs. Lions

Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 198.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 198.5 (-110) after it opened @ 187.5 (-115).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 5th-most yards in the NFL (271.0 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense this year.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.69 yards-per-target: the most in football.
Cons

  • The New York Jets offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets have used play action on a measly 23.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

Projection
THE BLITZ
215
Passing Yards

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