Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jared Goff from EV Insight

Jared GoffPassing Yards

Right now, Jared Goff’s passing yards prop is set at 222.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 222.5 (-110) after it opened @ 231.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have stacked the box against opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Cons

The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 208.0 per game) against the New York Jets defense this year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the league versus the New York Jets defense this year (66.8%).
The New York Jets pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, giving up 6.72 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in football.
The New York Jets cornerbacks profile as the best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
220
Passing Yards