Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Tony Pollard from EV Insight

Tony PollardRushing Yards

Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 64.5 (-110) after it opened @ 69.5 (-110).

Pros

The Cowboys are a massive 17.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 2nd-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Tony Pollard has run for many more yards per game (65.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).
Opposing squads have rushed for the most yards in the NFL (168 per game) versus the Houston Texans defense this year.

Cons

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
59
Rushing Yards