Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
49ers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense as the quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per play.
- THE BLITZ projects Rachaad White to be much more involved in his team’s rushing attack this week (45.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (32.2% in games he has played).
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have utilized motion in their offense on 45.6% of their plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.
Cons
- The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 2nd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 32.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
- Opposing offenses have rushed for the least yards in the NFL (just 76 per game) versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.
- The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
40
Rushing Yards
40
Rushing Yards
