Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
J.K. DobbinsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Steelers vs. Ravens
Right now, J.K. Dobbins’s rushing yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-115) after it opened @ 33.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles grade out as the worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Cons
- The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defense owns the 7th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 4.32 yards-per-carry.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
39
Rushing Yards
39
Rushing Yards
