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Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for J.K. Dobbins from EV Insight

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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. DobbinsRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 14

Steelers vs. Ravens

Right now, J.K. Dobbins’s rushing yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-115) after it opened @ 33.5 (-110).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles grade out as the worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Cons

  • The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense owns the 7th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 4.32 yards-per-carry.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection
THE BLITZ
39
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight Next Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Christian Kirk from EV Insight