Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Trey McBride from EV Insight

Trey McBrideReceiving Yards

Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 10.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 10.5 (-115) after it opened @ 15.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Cons

Trey McBride has accrued a measly 3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 19th percentile among TEs.
Trey McBride has been among the least efficient receivers in the NFL among TEs, averaging a lowly 4.18 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 12th percentile.
The New England Patriots defense has yielded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 39.0) vs. TEs this year.
The New England Patriots pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.2%) versus tight ends this year (64.2%).
The New England Patriots pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against TEs this year, surrendering 6.82 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
23
Receiving Yards