Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-125/-105).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-105) after it opened @ 32.5 (-110).

Pros

The Chargers are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.40 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

Cons

Gerald Everett has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (60.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (71.0%).
Gerald Everett’s possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 82.2% to 68.3%.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.35 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in football.
The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards