Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Devin DuvernayReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Steelers vs. Ravens
Right now, Devin Duvernay’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-125/-105).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-105) after it opened @ 21.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- Devin Duvernay has gone out for fewer passes this season (75.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (54.5%).
- Devin Duvernay has posted significantly more air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
- Devin Duvernay has notched substantially more receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 4th-most receiving yards per game in the league (176.0) to wideouts this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (60%) to wideouts this year (60.0%).
- The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties project as the 5th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.
- The Baltimore Ravens O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
29
Receiving Yards
29
Receiving Yards
