Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
DeVante ParkerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Cardinals vs. Patriots
Right now, DeVante Parker’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-105) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
- THE BLITZ projects DeVante Parker to notch 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
- THE BLITZ projects DeVante Parker to be much more involved in his team’s air attack this week (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.5% in games he has played).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.3 plays per game.
- DeVante Parker has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (91.0 per game).
- DeVante Parker has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (41.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).
- The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 143.0) to wideouts this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards
61
Receiving Yards
