Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeVante Parker from EV Insight

DeVante ParkerReceiving Yards

Right now, DeVante Parker’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 40.5 (-105) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects DeVante Parker to notch 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects DeVante Parker to be much more involved in his team’s air attack this week (19.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.5% in games he has played).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.3 plays per game.
DeVante Parker has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (91.0 per game).
DeVante Parker has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (41.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).
The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 143.0) to wideouts this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards