Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Cowboys vs. Texans
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 32.5 yards (-115/-119).
The public has bet the OVER up to 32.5 (-115) after it opened @ 31.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Dalton Schultz has run a route on 74.9% of his offense’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among TEs.
- THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to garner 5.9 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
- Dalton Schultz has totaled a whopping 41.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among tight ends.
Cons
- The Cowboys are a massive 17.5-point favorite in this week’s game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: least in the NFL.
- Dalton Schultz has accumulated a lot fewer receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (51.0).
- Dalton Schultz’s ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 77.9% to 68.1%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
50
Receiving Yards
50
Receiving Yards
