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Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Godwin from EV Insight

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Chris Godwin

Chris GodwinReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 14

49ers vs. Buccaneers

Right now, Chris Godwin’s receiving yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-112/-117).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-117) after it opened @ 58.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense as the quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Chris Godwin to garner 9.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus wide receivers this year, yielding 9.08 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the league.
Cons

  • Chris Godwin has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (69.0 per game).
  • Chris Godwin has accumulated significantly fewer receiving yards per game (68.0) this year than he did last year (87.0).
  • Chris Godwin’s receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 79.6% to 71.3%.
  • Chris Godwin’s pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, averaging a measly 7.28 yards-per-target vs a 9.83 rate last year.
  • Chris Godwin’s talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, averaging a measly 4.69 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.16 mark last year.

Projection
THE BLITZ
69
Receiving Yards

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