WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Cameron BrateReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
49ers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Cameron Brate’s receiving yards prop is set at 13.5 yards (-105/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 13.5 (-120) after it opened @ 17.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense as the quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per play.
- Cameron Brate has run fewer routes this season (61.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (41.5%).
- Cameron Brate has compiled a whopping 25.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile among TEs.
Cons
- Cameron Brate’s sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 63.9% to 59.5%.
- Cameron Brate’s receiving efficiency has tailed off this season, notching a mere 5.00 yards-per-target vs a 6.12 rate last season.
- The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 32.0) vs. TEs this year.
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (67.7%) vs. TEs this year (67.7%).
- The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus TEs this year, yielding 5.41 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
18
Receiving Yards
18
Receiving Yards
