Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mac Jones from EV Insight

Mac JonesPassing Yards

Right now, Mac Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 233.5 yards (-125/-109).

The public has bet the OVER up to 233.5 (-125) after it opened @ 222.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Mac Jones has been among the most accurate passers in the NFL this year with a stellar 68.7% Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.
Opposing teams have thrown for the most yards in football (255.0 per game) versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
The New England Patriots O-line has given their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

Projection

THE BLITZ
277
Passing Yards