Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Mac JonesPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Cardinals vs. Patriots
Right now, Mac Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 233.5 yards (-125/-109).
The public has bet the OVER up to 233.5 (-125) after it opened @ 222.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing teams have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
- Mac Jones has been among the most accurate passers in the NFL this year with a stellar 68.7% Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.
- Opposing teams have thrown for the most yards in football (255.0 per game) versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.3 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 38.3 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
- The New England Patriots O-line has given their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.
- The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in football since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
277
Passing Yards
277
Passing Yards
