Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Giants vs. Commanders
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 71.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to accumulate 18.9 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
- Saquon Barkley has run for many more yards per game (84.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
- Saquon Barkley’s ground efficiency has gotten a boost this year, compiling 4.11 yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.28 mark last year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to be a much smaller piece of his team’s run game this week (62.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (73.0% in games he has played).
- The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
- Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 109 per game) against the Washington Commanders defense this year.
- The Washington Commanders safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year with their run defense.
Projection
THE BLITZ
83
Rushing Yards
83
Rushing Yards
