Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Treylon Burks from EV Insight

Treylon BurksReceiving Yards

Right now, Treylon Burks’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-115/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 46.5 (-115) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).

Pros

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Treylon Burks to accrue 6.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
Treylon Burks has been a big part of his team’s pass game, earning a Target Share of 18.7% this year, which ranks in the 80th percentile among WRs.
Treylon Burks has garnered a colossal 26.3% of his team’s air yards this year: 79th percentile among wideouts.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Treylon Burks has been among the worst wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 142.0) versus wideouts this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards