Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Terry McLaurinReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Giants vs. Commanders
Right now, Terry McLaurin’s receiving yards prop is set at 63.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 63.5 (-110) after it opened @ 60.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
- The Washington Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 7.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
- THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to be much more involved in his offense’s passing offense this week (28.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (22.4% in games he has played).
- Terry McLaurin has been among the best wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 67.0 yards per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in the NFL.
- Terry McLaurin has put up quite a few less air yards this season (93.0 per game) than he did last season (103.0 per game).
- The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
