NBA Playoffs Series Preview: Cavaliers vs. Celtics
Alex Christenson
Jakobi MeyersReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Patriots vs. Bills
Right now, Jakobi Meyers’s receiving yards prop is set at 47.5 yards (+102/-139).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 47.5 (-139) after it opened @ 50.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-most pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.4% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Jakobi Meyers has been among the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an impressive 66.0 yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.
- The Buffalo Bills defense has allowed the 7th-most receiving yards per game in football (169.0) to wideouts this year.
Cons
- The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a measly 54.9 plays per game.
- Jakobi Meyers has posted far fewer air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).
- The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.35 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-least in the league.
- The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
- The New England Patriots O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
65
Receiving Yards
65
Receiving Yards
