WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Gerald EverettReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-110) after it opened @ 32.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 68.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per play.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to earn 5.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
- The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 10th-most receiving yards per game in football (53.0) vs. tight ends this year.
Cons
- Gerald Everett has been less involved as a potential target this season (60.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (71.0%).
- Gerald Everett’s receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 67.0%.
- Gerald Everett’s receiving effectiveness has declined this year, notching just 6.76 yards-per-target compared to a 7.95 figure last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards
38
Receiving Yards
