Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Foster MoreauReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Foster Moreau’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 33.5 (-110) after it opened @ 31.5 (-115).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Foster Moreau has gone out for fewer passes this season (77.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (45.1%).
- THE BLITZ projects Foster Moreau to garner 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
- Foster Moreau has posted quite a few more air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (19.0 per game).
- Foster Moreau has notched a lot more receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).
Cons
- The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
- THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
- The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.9%) versus TEs this year (61.9%).
- The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards
44
Receiving Yards
