Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Falcons vs. Steelers
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 35.5 yards (+100/-125).
The public has bet the OVER up to 35.5 (+100) after it opened @ 34.5 (-115).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
- THE BLITZ projects Drake London to garner 7.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
- Drake London has been a big part of his team’s passing offense, posting a Target Share of 25.8% this year, which ranks in the 89th percentile among wideouts.
- Drake London has been responsible for a whopping 26.1% of his team’s air yards this year: 78th percentile among wide receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 52.8 plays per game.
- Drake London has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league, catching a mere 59.4% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 11th percentile among WRs
- Drake London has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a measly 7.35 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 16th percentile among wideouts
Projection
THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards
53
Receiving Yards
