Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Darius Slayton from EV Insight

Darius SlaytonReceiving Yards

Right now, Darius Slayton’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-110) after it opened @ 46.5 (-115).

Pros

The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.
Darius Slayton has received a colossal 31.3% of his team’s air yards this year: 90th percentile among wideouts.
Darius Slayton’s 46.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 37.2.
Darius Slayton has compiled significantly more receiving yards per game (56.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).
Darius Slayton’s receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 46.0% to 63.1%.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards