Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Dalton Schultz from EV Insight

Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards

Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to earn 6.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
Dalton Schultz has been a key part of his team’s pass game, posting a Target Share of 18.2% this year, which places him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
Dalton Schultz has compiled a monstrous 36.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among tight ends.

Cons

The Cowboys are an enormous 10.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.
Dalton Schultz has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (51.0).
Dalton Schultz’s receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 77.9% to 73.8%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
51
Receiving Yards