Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Dalton SchultzReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Cowboys vs. Colts
Right now, Dalton Schultz’s receiving yards prop is set at 37.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to earn 6.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
- Dalton Schultz has been a key part of his team’s pass game, posting a Target Share of 18.2% this year, which places him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.
- Dalton Schultz has compiled a monstrous 36.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among tight ends.
Cons
- The Cowboys are an enormous 10.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.
- Dalton Schultz has notched substantially fewer receiving yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (51.0).
- Dalton Schultz’s receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 77.9% to 73.8%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
51
Receiving Yards
51
Receiving Yards
