Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Amari Cooper from EV Insight

Amari CooperReceiving Yards

Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-106/-129).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 65.5 (-129) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).

Pros

The Cleveland Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to accumulate 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
Amari Cooper has been a much bigger part of his offense’s pass attack this season (26.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (20.2%).
Amari Cooper has posted many more receiving yards per game (76.0) this year than he did last year (65.0).

Cons

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in football.
The Houston Texans defense has yielded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 142.0) to WRs this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
71
Receiving Yards