Week 13 Player Props: Passing Yards for Ryan Tannehill from EV Insight

Ryan TannehillPassing Yards

Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 201.5 yards (-110/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 201.5 (-115) after it opened @ 205.5 (-115).

Pros

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Ryan Tannehill has been among the most accurate QBs in the NFL this year with an impressive 66.8% Completion%, checking in at the 76th percentile.
Ryan Tannehill has been among the most effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 8.10 yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.
The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 33.3 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 9th-least of all QBs.
The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 9th-least yards in football (just 218.0 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
217
Passing Yards