WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Matt RyanPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Cowboys vs. Colts
Right now, Matt Ryan’s passing yards prop is set at 210.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 210.5 (-110) after it opened @ 223.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Colts are an enormous 10.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
- Matt Ryan has passed for substantially more yards per game (266.0) this year than he did last year (234.0).
Cons
- The Indianapolis Colts O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Opposing QBs have passed for the least yards in football (just 199.0 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, allowing 6.96 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the league.
- The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.
- The Dallas Cowboys defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
263
Passing Yards
263
Passing Yards
