WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Deshaun WatsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Texans vs. Browns
Right now, Deshaun Watson’s passing yards prop is set at 237.5 yards (+110/-135).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 237.5 (-135) after it opened @ 252.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Houston Texans pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.14 yards-per-target: the 8th-most in the NFL.
- The Houston Texans defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.20 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in football.
Cons
- The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 29.3 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
241
Passing Yards
241
Passing Yards
