Week 13 Player Props: Passing Yards for Dak Prescott from EV Insight

Dak PrescottPassing Yards

Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 241.5 yards (-110/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 241.5 (-115) after it opened @ 249.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Dak Prescott has been among the most accurate passers in the NFL this year with a stellar 67.1% Completion%, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Dak Prescott has been among the most effective QBs in football this year, averaging an impressive 7.70 yards-per-target while checking in at the 79th percentile.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.11 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in football.

Cons

The Cowboys are an enormous 10.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.
Dak Prescott has passed for significantly fewer yards per game (234.0) this year than he did last year (288.0).
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 4th-least yards in the NFL (just 207.0 per game) against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
293
Passing Yards