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Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III from EV Insight

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Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 12

Seahawks vs. Raiders

Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 78.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 78.5 (-110) after it opened @ 73.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense as the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per snap.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 30th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 37.0% run rate.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have elected to go for it on 4th down just 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection
THE BLITZ
97
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Chris Godwin from EV Insight Next Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Cordarrelle Patterson from EV Insight