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Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III from EV Insight background

Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III from EV Insight

NFL

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November 25, 2022

Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III from EV Insight

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FTN Staff

Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 12

Seahawks vs. Raiders

Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 78.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 78.5 (-110) after it opened @ 73.5 (-115).

O/U 76.5
-125/-105

O/U 78.5
-110/-110

O/U 76.5
-139/102

O/U 76.5
-120/-110

Pros

The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense as the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per snap.
The Las Vegas Raiders safeties profile as the 30th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 37.0% run rate.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have elected to go for it on 4th down just 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
97
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Deebo Samuel from EV Insight Next Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Cordarrelle Patterson from EV Insight

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