Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Jonathan TaylorRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Colts vs. Steelers
Right now, Jonathan Taylor’s rushing yards prop is set at 85.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 20.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
- Jonathan Taylor has garnered 80.1% of his team’s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
- The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Jonathan Taylor has run for substantially fewer yards per game (88.0) this season than he did last season (116.0).
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering just 4.18 yards-per-carry.
Projection
THE BLITZ
98
Rushing Yards
98
Rushing Yards
