Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jonathan Taylor from EV Insight

Jonathan TaylorRushing Yards

Right now, Jonathan Taylor’s rushing yards prop is set at 85.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 20.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
Jonathan Taylor has garnered 80.1% of his team’s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 3rd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jonathan Taylor has run for substantially fewer yards per game (88.0) this season than he did last season (116.0).
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering just 4.18 yards-per-carry.

Projection

THE BLITZ
98
Rushing Yards