Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
James ConnerRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cardinals vs. Chargers
Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.1 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 14.8 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
- James Conner has garnered 52.6% of his team’s carries this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among RBs.
- The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 5.89 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
- James Conner’s ground effectiveness (4.03 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (25th percentile among running backs).
- James Conner has been among the weakest RBs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.57 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 11th percentile.
- The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated some form of misdirection on a lowly 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards
64
Rushing Yards
