Week 12 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner from EV Insight

James ConnerRushing Yards

Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 63.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 14.8 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
James Conner has garnered 52.6% of his team’s carries this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among RBs.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 5.89 yards-per-carry.

Cons

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
James Conner’s ground effectiveness (4.03 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (25th percentile among running backs).
James Conner has been among the weakest RBs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.57 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 11th percentile.
The Arizona Cardinals have incorporated some form of misdirection on a lowly 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
64
Rushing Yards