Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Travis KelceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Chiefs vs. Rams
Right now, Travis Kelce’s receiving yards prop is set at 78.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 78.5 (-110) after it opened @ 80.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 72.4% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Travis Kelce to total 9.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
- Travis Kelce has accumulated far more air yards this season (71.0 per game) than he did last season (61.0 per game).
- Travis Kelce has accumulated quite a few more receiving yards per game (93.0) this season than he did last season (59.0).
Cons
- The Chiefs are a 5.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
- The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the 10th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 36.0) vs. TEs this year.
- The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (63%) to TEs this year (63.0%).
- The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
77
Receiving Yards
77
Receiving Yards
