Bettings
article-picture
article-picture
NFL
Bets

Week 12 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Noah Fant from EV Insight

Share
Contents
Close
Noah Fant

Noah FantReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 12

Seahawks vs. Raiders

Right now, Noah Fant’s receiving yards prop is set at 26.5 yards (-113/-121).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 26.5 (-121) after it opened @ 26.5 (-115).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense as the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Noah Fant to earn 4.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among tight ends.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Cons

  • The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Noah Fant has been a less important option in his offense’s passing offense this season (12.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (18.5%).
  • Noah Fant has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
  • Noah Fant has compiled a lot fewer receiving yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection
THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Tua Tagovailoa from EV Insight Next World Cup Betting Breakdown (Saturday 11/26)