WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Lawrence CagerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cowboys vs. Giants
Right now, Lawrence Cager’s receiving yards prop is set at 18.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 18.5 (-110) after it opened @ 16.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Giants are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has not been good when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.36 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
- The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
- The Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) versus WRs this year.
- The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) to WRs this year (64.0%).
- The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards
19
Receiving Yards
